It’s deja vu all over again.
Courtesy of NYT:
At a meeting of President Trump’s top national security aides last Thursday, Acting Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan presented an updated military plan that envisions sending as many as 120,000 troops to the Middle East should Iran attack American forces or accelerate work on nuclear weapons, administration officials said.
The revisions were ordered by hard-liners led by John R. Bolton, Mr. Trump’s national security adviser. They do not call for a land invasion of Iran, which would require vastly more troops, officials said.
The development reflects the influence of Mr. Bolton, one of the administration’s most virulent Iran hawks, whose push for confrontation with Tehran was ignored more than a decade ago by President George W. Bush.
It is highly uncertain whether Mr. Trump, who has sought to disentangle the United States from Afghanistan and Syria, ultimately would send so many American forces back to the Middle East.
It is also unclear whether the president has been briefed on the number of troops or other details in the plans. On Monday, asked about if he was seeking regime change in Iran, Mr. Trump said: “We’ll see what happens with Iran. If they do anything, it would be a very bad mistake.”
Today Trump referred to this story as “fake news” which of course means that it is 100% accurate.
Pres. Trump calls report administration was reviewing plan to send up to 120,000 troops to Middle East “fake news.”
— ABC News (@ABC) May 14, 2019
Personally, I have to say that I would be surprised if Trump actually went through with sending troops to Iran.
Because while the saber rattling might give his hardcore followers hard-ons, an actual military confrontation would cost him the election in a heartbeat.
We still remember the lies they used to send our young people to die in Iraq, and there is no fucking way that the voters will support a president who pulled that same shit again.
Having said that I am still worried.
President Obama had a good deal that would keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons perhaps for decades, but since Trump unilaterally pulled out of it I do not know what happens next.
I think best case scenario Trump leaves a huge mess for the next Democratic president to solve.
But worst case scenario is that Iran develops these nukes and we have a real potential crisis on our hands.