I have a friend who has been saying this for months.
Courtesy of Politico:
Mass casualties from the coronavirus could upend the political landscape in battleground states and shift contests away from President Donald Trump, according to a new analysis.
Academic researchers writing in a little-noticed public administration journal — Administrative Theory & Praxis — conclude that when considering nothing other than the tens of thousands of deaths projected from the virus, demographic shifts alone could be enough to swing crucial states to Joe Biden in the fall.
“The pandemic is going to take a greater toll on the conservative electorate leading into this election — and that’s simply just a calculation of age,” Andrew Johnson, the lead author and a professor of management at Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi, said in an interview. “The virus is killing more older voters, and in many states that’s the key to a GOP victory.”
Johnson and his colleagues Wendi Pollock and Beth M. Rauhaus projected that even with shelter-in-place orders remaining in effect, about 11,000 more Republicans than Democrats who are 65 and older could die before the election in both Michigan and North Carolina.
In Pennsylvania, should the state return to using only social distancing to fight infections, over 13,000 more Republican than Democratic voters in that age category could be lost.
In other words, conservative groups and their like-minded media cohorts, who are pushing to reopen businesses may in fact be shooting themselves in the foot by helping to kill off support for their preferred politicians and policies.
If these southern states are successful in vilifying social distancing they could open the door for a second wave of the pandemic in their areas that will make the first one look like a walk in the park.
Here is some more news to chew on, the first wave was much worse than we were led to believe.
Courtesy of WaPo:
The United States recorded an estimated 37,100 excess deaths as the novel coronavirus spread across the country in March and the first two weeks of April, nearly 13,500 more than are now attributed to covid-19 for that same period, according to an analysis of federal data conducted for The Washington Post by a research team led by the Yale School of Public Health.
The Yale team’s analysis suggests that the number of excess deaths accelerated as the pandemic took hold. There were 16,600 estimated excess deaths just in the week of April 5 to April 11, compared with 20,500 over the prior five weeks.
Though the team’s estimate of the impact early in the outbreak already paints a picture of unusually high mortality, the number is certain to grow as more deaths are reported to the federal government on a rolling basis.
“I think people need to be aware that the data they’re seeing on deaths is very incomplete,” said Dan Weinberger, a Yale professor of epidemiology who led the analysis for The Post.
I don’t typically hope for people who disagree with me to die, but maybe this is just nature’s way of weeding out the idiots so that the more intelligent among us can finally get health care for all, repair our country’s infrastructure, and start moving toward renewable energy solutions to save our planet.
I know that sounds harsh but we are dealing with a crisis here, and if we have to start choosing which populations to sacrifice, I am ever so slightly nodding toward the Trump supporters to go first.