New NBC News poll shows Elizabeth Warren moving into second place.

By |2019-09-18T11:17:37-08:00September 18th, 2019|Categories: News|Tags: , , , , , , |6 Comments

She just keeps moving on up.

Courtesy of NBC News

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., continue to top the Democratic 2020 presidential field after last week’s debate — in a race for the nomination that breaks along ideological and racial lines, according to a national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Tuesday.

The survey also shows that Warren has the advantage in enthusiasm, and that she gets the most second-choice support.

Biden leads the overall horserace with backing from 31 percent of Democratic primary voters (up 5 points since July), while Warren gets 25 percent (up 6 points).

They’re followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., at 14 percent (up 1 point), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is at 7 percent (unchanged) and Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., at 5 percent (down 8 points).

Entrepreneur Andrew Yang gets support from 4 percent of Democratic primary voters, and Sens. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., and Cory Booker, D-N.J., both get 2 percent.

At this point at least it appears that the top three canddiates are pretty set and that they wil remain in the top three barring any serious scandals or health concerns. 

The part of this poll that really caught my eye was the enthusiasm gap:

While Warren narrowly trails Biden in the Democratic horserace, she holds the advantage in enthusiasm.

Thirty-five percent of Democratic primary voters say they’re “enthusiastic” about Warren (which is up 9 points since June), another 35 percent are “comfortable” with her and just 6 percent are “very uncomfortable.”

That’s compared with 23 percent who are enthusiastic about Biden, another 41 percent who are comfortable and 13 percent who are very uncomfortable — essentially unchanged since June.

Bernie Sanders’ numbers are 25 percent enthusiastic, 37 percent comfortable and 12 percent very uncomfortable.

Warren also gets the most second-choice support in the horserace, with 21 percent of Democratic primary voters picking her as their second choice — followed by Sanders at 16 percent, Buttigieg at 12 percent and Biden at 11 percent.

I think that enthusiasm number is a key indicator as to whether people will donate to a campaign, attend a rally, or can be relied upon to turn out and vote in November of next year. 

I always felt that enthusiasm was lacking with Hillary Clinton in 2016.

I liked her, I thought she was extremely well qualified, but she never inspired me or excited me about her campaign. 

Elizabeth Warren is different, and I think that difference makes her a formidable opponent for Donald Trump in the general. 

About the Author:

This blog is dedicated to finding the truth, exposing the lies, and holding our politicians and leaders accountable when they fall far short of the promises that they have made to both my fellow Alaskans and the American people.

6 Comments

  1. Paul September 18, 2019 at 12:20 pm

    What’s really amazing is how far down Senator Harris has dropped. In an Iowa poll I saw today, Harris has dropped even more than she has in the national polls. There is still a few months before the first caucuses and elections, but if Harris doesn’t turn this around soon, she should drop out (along with most of the other candidates). At this point Senator Warren appears to be on a very strong upward trajectory. I would not be surprised if she overtakes Biden prior to Iowa’s caucus.

  2. Anonymous September 18, 2019 at 3:47 pm

    RIGGED!!!

    The astounding advantage the Electoral College gives to Republicans, in one chart
    In close elections, Republicans are favored to win even when they lose the popular vote.

    https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/9/17/20868790/republicans-lose-popular-vote-win-electoral-college

    • Gus Dusted September 18, 2019 at 5:47 pm

      But of course! Why they’ve already called 2020.

    • Anonymous September 18, 2019 at 6:56 pm

      That right there is the actual reason the Electoral College exists. It has been there your whole life and the rules haven’t changed. Trump being president doesn’t mean we all get to change the rules. Get used to it.

  3. Anonymous September 18, 2019 at 9:52 pm

    This country craves discipline, stability, organization, intelligence, a PLAN, and most of an adult that is presidential and won’t embarrass us and the office before the world. Warren ticks all the boxes.

  4. nanna September 19, 2019 at 4:31 am

    Lately I’ve noticed that Elizabeth Warren is definitely where the excitement is for younger voters.

Comments are closed.