This is what I have been saying.
Courtesy of The Hill:
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s campaign manager, Jen O’Malley Dillon, says the race against President Trump is “far closer” than conventional wisdom suggests.
Despite polls showing the former vice president with a double-digit lead over Trump nationally and smaller but consistent leads in battleground states, Dillon warned over Twitter on Wednesday night that the contest is “a lot closer.”
“Early voting is already underway in many states,” Dillon said. “Millions of voters have already cast their ballots. But there is still a long way to go in this campaign, and we think this race is far closer than folks on this website [Twitter] think. Like a lot closer.”
Biden leads by 9.3 points nationally in the RealClearPolitics average with under three weeks to go before the election. Analysts say Trump could lose the national vote by about 4 points and still pull off a victory in the Electoral College.
Personally, I actually think that the poll numbers are largely correct, though I also think that there are Trump supporters who do not talk to pollsters.
Having said that the main takeaway from this article to me is that we must not be complacent and start to relax because we think we are too far in the lead to be caught.
That was our thinking back in 2016, and we know where that got us.
And this time around we have the mail being purposefully interfered with, Republicans making it as hard as possible to vote, and Trump preparing to file a lawsuit when he loses so that the Supreme Court can hand him a victory.
So yes, take a minute to read the polls, but then get out there and vote.
Of course you can’t rely on the polls, look at the sample group 600-1,000 people.
We don’t want another ” oh my vote won’t matter, Biden is winning by a lot” folks that can’t be bothered to vote to happen again.
We won’t survive another 4 years of trump in the WH.
https://www.businessinsider.com/new-york-post-hunter-joe-biden-giuliani-red-flags-disinformation-2020-10
Business Insider identified the repair-shop owner as John Paul Mac Isaac, an avid Trump supporter who couldn’t get his facts straight when reporters later questioned him about the timeline of events laid out in the Post’s story.
The outlet also said it learned of the emails’ existence last month through Steve Bannon, the former White House chief strategist, and obtained them through Rudy Giuliani, President Donald Trump’s personal lawyer.
“NEWS: Biden lied when he denied speaking to his ‘son [Hunter] about his overseas business dealings,'” tweeted Kellyanne Conway, the former White House counselor.
She said in another tweet that Hunter Biden joined the board “shortly after Obama put Joe Biden in charge of US relations with Ukraine.” She added that the Post’s report showed “Burisma’s No. 3 exec, asking Hunter for ‘advice on how you could use your INFLUENCE’ on the company’s behalf.”
“Joe Biden is a stone cold corrupt liar,” a tweet from the Trump War Room account said. In another tweet, it said that “Joe Biden thinks the American people are suckers.”
The most glaring questions center on whether the emails are authentic, how they were uncovered, and how the Post obtained them.
A reverse image search of one of the photos in the story indicated that the shop’s owner is a man named John Paul Mac Isaac, whose social-media activity suggests he is an avid Trump supporter. His shop, called The Mac Shop, is at 21a Trolley Square in Wilmington. The Post also did not strip the metadata from photos included in the article, and a software engineer named Russel Neiss noted that the GPS information embedded in some of the images showed that the repair shop was in the same area.
The story went on to say the person who dropped off the water-damaged laptop “never paid for the service or retrieved it or a hard drive on which its contents were stored, according to the shop owner, who said he tried repeatedly to contact the client.”
The shop’s owner then contacted federal authorities about the laptop and the hard drive, the report said. The article also included a photo described as a federal court subpoena showing that the FBI seized the computer and the hard drive in December. It’s unclear why the bureau subpoenaed the hardware after the repair shop’s owner volunteered information about its existence to authorities.
The FBI did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
…the emails featured in the Post’s story were published as images rather than in a file format, which “makes it harder to analyze and verify the files.”
“Note that photos, which appear to look genuine, could be there simply to add credibility to forged emails surfaced along with the photos. This would be a standard tactic in disinformation operations,”
Isaac did not respond to multiple phone calls and text messages seeking comment. But he later confirmed to several reporters who tracked him down at his shop that he was the source of the story. Isaac also said Trump’s impeachment was a “sham” and at one point cited the debunked right-wing conspiracy theory about the slain Democratic staffer Seth Rich.
Notably, the Post’s report said, the repair shop’s owner made a copy of the hard drive and turned it over to Robert Costello, a defense attorney who represents former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, before giving the computer and the hard drive to the feds.
Biden was doing the opposite of what Trump and Giuliani have implied: He was trying to oust a prosecutor who was slow-walking the investigation into Burisma, rather than actively targeting the company.
And don’t listen to the Nate Silvers of the world. Just go and vote. Vote like your’ life depended on it. Let’s turn back the will of the Republicans for an apacolypse.
https://www.insideedition.com/alaska-mayor-resigns-after-news-anchor-reveals-inappropriate-relationship-62491