This is what I have been saying.
Courtesy of The Hill:
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s campaign manager, Jen O’Malley Dillon, says the race against President Trump is “far closer” than conventional wisdom suggests.
Despite polls showing the former vice president with a double-digit lead over Trump nationally and smaller but consistent leads in battleground states, Dillon warned over Twitter on Wednesday night that the contest is “a lot closer.”
“Early voting is already underway in many states,” Dillon said. “Millions of voters have already cast their ballots. But there is still a long way to go in this campaign, and we think this race is far closer than folks on this website [Twitter] think. Like a lot closer.”
Biden leads by 9.3 points nationally in the RealClearPolitics average with under three weeks to go before the election. Analysts say Trump could lose the national vote by about 4 points and still pull off a victory in the Electoral College.
Personally, I actually think that the poll numbers are largely correct, though I also think that there are Trump supporters who do not talk to pollsters.
Having said that the main takeaway from this article to me is that we must not be complacent and start to relax because we think we are too far in the lead to be caught.
That was our thinking back in 2016, and we know where that got us.
And this time around we have the mail being purposefully interfered with, Republicans making it as hard as possible to vote, and Trump preparing to file a lawsuit when he loses so that the Supreme Court can hand him a victory.
So yes, take a minute to read the polls, but then get out there and vote.