We shall see. 

Courtesy of Business Insider:

Bill Gates is feeling optimistic that, with all the work being done to develop COVID-19 treatments and vaccines, there is an end to the pandemic in sight.

Unfortunately, that end is still at least a year away, he told Wired’s Steven Levy.

“The innovation pipeline on scaling up diagnostics, on new therapeutics, on vaccines is actually quite impressive. And that makes me feel like, for the rich world, we should largely be able to end this thing by the end of 2021, and for the world at large by the end of 2022,” Gates said.

Gates says that he fears that in nations like Russia and China, the pressure to have a vaccine is so high that regulators may be allowing shots to be given to humans before the vaccines are known to be safe and effective.

But the US FDA is not allowing such short-cuts, he said.

“We probably need three or four months — no matter what — of phase 3 data, just to look for side effects,” Gates said. “The FDA, to their credit, at least so far, is sticking to requiring proof of efficacy.”

Last month, Gates told Business Insider’s Hilary Brueck that he’s confident that scientists will develop a vaccine that’s “very effective and very safe” in part because there are so many vaccines currently in development: more than 160 worldwide. Two of the four speediest trials that are testing vaccines in humans right now are US-based, too: Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech.

Gates also told Brueck if the best vaccines are not shared worldwide, that COVID-19 will “just keep coming back.”

In the meantime, Gates predicts we’re in for a rough fall and winter with the virus, even though this virus does not appear to be seasonal.

I am really gratified to hear Gates say that FDA is not allowing vaccines that are not safe and effective to be pushed through because I really worry about Trump trying to get some poisonous totally ineffective concoction out into the market place to help with his reelection. 

This means I am going to keep an eye on the FDA to make sure that Trump does not pull the same shit there that he is pulling with the US Postal Service and Justice Department. 

As for the end of this pandemic, I think that Gates is likely being a little optimistic here, but I also think that it is possible to have under control in a year’s time but only if Trump is no longer in office. 

If Trump does somehow manage to remain in office I think we should all start preparing for the End Times.