As I write this post only 4% of the votes have been counted according to the New York Times.
However, Sanders is so far ahead and did so well in the exit polls that it is essentially a foregone conclusion at this point that he will easily win the state today. (MSNBC has already called the race in his favor.)
Sanders also won New Hampshire, and either won or came in second in Iowa, depending on who you talk to.
So a decisive win today could indicate the kind of momentum that simply cannot be overcome by the other candidates.
On March 3, we will have Super Tuesday which will feature primaries from 14 states including Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.
According to early polling it is almost certain that Sanders will get the lion’s share of the vote in California, and either come in first or second in Texas and of course, he will win Vermont.
Polls show Sanders either leading or only a few points behind first place in most of the other states voting on March 3rd as well.
If Sanders performs to expectations after Super Tuesday he will be for all intents and purposes the nominee, which of course is just what Trump and Putin are hoping for.
Here is what famed Democratic strategist James Carville had to say about a Bernie victory today courtesy of Mediaite:
Carville expressed fear on MSNBC that the media is not appraising voters of the risks of nominating Sanders, of whom he has been harshly critical.
“The entire theory that by expanding the electorate, increasing turnouts, you can win elections, is the equivalent of climate denying. When people say that, they are as stupid to a political scientist as a climate denier is to an atmospheric scientist,” he said.
Carville continued that he understood Sanders supporters who backed the Vermont Independent because of his platform.
But, he said, “If you’re voting for him because you think he’ll win the election, because he’ll galvanize heretofore sleepy parts of an electorate, then politically, you’re a fool.”
“And that’s just a fact,” Carville continued. “It’s no denying it, there’s so much political science, so much research on this that it’s not even a debatable question. And if people are appraised of this, and they know that, and they want to do it as Democrats, that’s their own business. But I don’t think they have all the facts that they need before they make this judgment going forward.”
“You’re describing a lot what sounds like political suicide?” MSNBC’s Nicolle Wallace said.
“It is,” Carville said.
Carville is quite a bit more verbose than I tend to be, but for all intents and purposes I think he is correct.
Part of the problem is Bernie’s famous temper, which was on full display right before the last Democratic debate.
Courtesy of Page Six:
Bernie Sanders went ballistic at NBC and MSNBC execs ahead of the Democratic debate this week — jabbing one top TV exec repeatedly in the face with his finger and accusing the networks of offensive negative coverage.
Surging Sanders stormed through the walk-through for the Las Vegas debate, singling out one top producer at the end and aggressively sticking his finger in his face. One shocked witness said, “Bernie marched right up to NBC and MSNBC’s head of creative production and began jabbing his finger right in his face, yelling, ‘Your coverage of my campaign is not fair . . . Your questions tonight are not going to be fair to me.’ ”
Sanders did not hold back as he continued to rant about MSNBC coverage. According to the witness, “The NBC exec told Sanders he would be treated fairly.”
Whether or not Sanders has a point, and he might, this inability to control his temper will not play well for a lot of voters in this country.
We do not want a more liberal version of Donald Trump to face off against him on the debate stage and try to shout him down.
We need somebody who can outmaneuver him intellectually while throwing in a few verbal zingers to get him angry and off balance, all while demonstrating a presidential demeanor.
And that ain’t Bernie Sanders.
Having said that, I am going to vote my heart out for him in November, and I hope you all will too, because we are going to need EVERYBODY.
This is not a drill, we are in a very real, and very dangerous crisis in this country.
We may not get the hero we want, but by Zeus in the end Bernie Sanders may be the hero we need.
“This is not a drill, we are in a very real, and very dangerous crisis in this country.”
By dangerous crisis are you referring to the record low unemployment and booming economy?
trump to cashier at Wal-Mart: “did you know I’ve created tens of thousands of jobs every month since I took office?”
Wal-Mart cashier: “Yes, I work three of them and I still can’t pay the rent.”
@4:31 PM: are you uneducated or just stupid?
@ 5:50 pm YES, I was just thinking about this that last time trump ranted that he isn’t getting credit for all the jobs he has created ( the ones in Mexico making rope to jump the wall doesn’t count)
the employment has gone up because folks are now needing to work 2-3 jobs at at time to survive.
Unfortunately, your little make believe story is just that 5:30. The 3-walmart jobs was an Obama legacy.
People are finding good work again. Sorry, sucks to be you.
Hoping for the worst for your fellow Americans, just to fulfill your selfish wacko communist political desires, says everything about your type.
However, your fellow -voting- and gainfully working patriotic Americans will let you know in November if they think this economy is bad.
If the economy is “booming” why has my stock portfolio gone down 10% since Trump was sworn in? It was doing great under Obama.
LOL, there you go again, now instead of liberals we are all communists, boy that republican brain washing really works.
As for your 3 Walmart jobs as an Obama legacy, you must have missed the crash in 2008, the ecomonmy was saved by Obama. Walmart employees must work 3 jobs because Walmart has everyone working part time 39 hours just enough not to get full time benefits so they can keep their billion dollar profits.
yep and don’t forget your MADE IN CHINA patriotic flags. sold at Walmarts.
@ 6:52: OH YEAH, I can just imagine TRUMP walking into a Walmart, anytime or anyplace! You’re actually showing your jealousy for all the great things Trump has done & will continue to do when he is re-elected in 2020!
HA HA HA thanks for the laugh, jealousy sounds like something an elementary school child would say, as well as unfair, but what can we expect from trump supporters when their idol is a child with the vocabulary of a toddler.
trump wouldn’t know a walmart if he saw one. OMG he doesn’t even know how a grocery store works.
“You’re describing a lot what sounds like political suicide?” MSNBC’s Nicolle Wallace said
———-
Yet worked her little heart out to get $arah elected veep.
t seems pretty clear that Senator Bernie Sanders will emerge from Nevada as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. He came into this race with strong name recognition. He has been well organized, and he seemingly has an unlimited line of credit for money and energy from his base of support.
All that being said, there are large blocks of the party that are not voting for him, at least not yet. Part of this is undoubtedly due to the fractured field. Part of it is ideological. How much lies in each camp we just don’t know. The biggest question of the moment is whether opposition to Bernie can coalesce, and if so, behind whom. I believe that Biden, Warren, Bloomberg, Butegieg, and even Klobuchar all believe in their minds that they are the ones best suited to unify the Sanders Resistance. Yet as long as all of them are running, consolidation will be impossible. With the delegate deluge of Super Tuesday looming, can one emerge? Can they keep Sanders in their sites?
There is a lot of fear from many in the Democratic Party about what a Sanders nomination will mean in the campaign against Trump, in down ballot races, and even, if he should win, in how he would govern. I suspect many in the Republican Party are eager to face him. On the flip side, Sanders is a known quality and holds up to Trump well in many of the polls. He will say that his movement can bring new people out to the ballot boxes in large numbers, especially young voters and what he has shown to date as a surprising strength in the Latin American community.
Over all of this hangs the label of socialism. In my mind, it has strong connotations born from decades of experience that are hard to shake. I have seen socialists run in the past in the United States and have seen an electorate act in ways far different than you see in European countries. Younger voters undoubtedly see things differently, if you believe the polls. Sanders will paint his socialism as Denmark. Trump will paint it as Venezuela, or even worse, akin to communism.
Expect to see a rash of articles anticipating what Sanders will mean for the Democrats in the fall. Read the arguments, weigh them, but also remember what people thought about the strength of a Trump nomination. Most Democrats (and many Republicans) initially thought he would be easy to beat. And watch Sanders. Does he try to stick in his current lane and plow to the nomination or does he recognize the queasiness of many who desperately want rid of President Trump but view Sanders with fear or suspicion. If he is the nominee and he is to win, he will need Clinton voters, and even some potential Bloomberg voters, as well as his own. I suspect he knows that.
All I can say for certain is this nation is churning in ways unlike I have ever quite seen. We are being pushed further apart, to more polarized policies, and views of each other. It is into this vortex that the main event may be Trump vs. Sanders. Or maybe the notion of that will shake another Democratic candidate to the role of foil. We shall see. Buckle up, the future awaits.
— Dan ‘The Man’ Rather
I will vote for whoever is nominated to unseat trump. All I need is a commitment to make every effort to imprison trump and all his complicit lawmakers who have shirked their duty and failed to live up to their oath, which they swore upon a bible to uphold.
…. all in your head honey. Sorry. Turn off the Maddow.
Yes! Who needs Maddow, of which I do not watch, when you have the electoral college in your pocket?
UNFAIR, gee where have i heard that before, oh yes, donald trump is always whining how unfair everything and everyone is to him.
so basically we will have two candidates chosen by the russians.
I hate to think who Bernie would choose as a VP. which considering he has already had one heart attack could end up president sooner than we think.
So winning means Bernie gets FIVE delegates out of 36, whoopee, doesn’t sound like a landslide to me.
I’m surprised. I caucused in Nevada (northern) and Sanders placed 4th with Buttigieg taking first. Wasn’t even close. I guess our precinct is not indicative of the State at large. Depressing.
Bernie’s a fighter and always has been. At any rate, I will be right there voting for whomever the Democratic candidate will be. The main thing is to get rid of Trump before he completely destroys our country and takes a good chunk of the rest of the world with it.
Bernie has been a career long term politician who has accomplished zero in all of his decades of collecting a government check.
I will not vote for Bernie under any circumstance, the rest of the field will get my vote whether it’s my candidate or not.
The Bern Started April 30, 2015
FUCK him.
Now what? Let’s not all get into a panic.
===============
“But for all the energy and attention devoted to the first three states, they award only a tiny fraction of the delegates needed to capture the nomination. After South Carolina, the contest becomes national in scope, putting a premium on candidates who have the resources to compete in states as large as California and Texas.”
Trump base = fixed to a Bible = simulation of reality
Sanders base = fixed to the internet = simulation of reality
I can see the writing on the wall, trump has already begun to smear Bernie with the russians are helping him, we are suppose to believe the intelligence agencies when they say the russians are helping Bernie, but not when they help trump ,of course because that is republican logic ( there is none). so trump flies under the radar.
People will be turned off by bernie, if they aren’t already, and Biden or Warren will get the nomination.
then if bernie does somehow win, the republicans will be calling to impeach him before the inauguration because the russians helped him win.
Exhumed corpses look more fresh and youthful than bern.
It’s three states. Momentum is one thing, winning in the end is another.
Plus there is every possibility Sanders may not get a clean win on the first ballot at the convention. If so, we then have to contend with Bloomberg buying enough delegates to win.
There are still plenty of states left. Not sure Sanders can sweep enough of them to clear a win on the first ballot.
He’s not my choice. But I will hold my nose and vote for anyone the Democrats put up against Trump. Even…..Bloomberg.
Now what? Hmmm. Well, Sanders getting the nomination is the only thing to get his whiny, misogynistic, misanthrope bros to vote the Democratic ticket. The grownups will hold their noses and vote for him because that’s what grownups do when the other option is slightly worse. Will that be enough to get him elected? Maybe, maybe not; there’s a lot of effort being put out to meddle in USA elections, and then there’s Trump’s base (who are shockingly similar to Bernie’s base) who will vote for their Dear Leader regardless of facts.
So it could go either way; either we get 4 more years of Trump, or we get a president who–despite being in politics his entire adult life–hadn’t accomplished anything and fights with anyone who doesn’t kiss his behind. Sure, that’ll go down well with the opposition, don’t you think?
Well, on the bright side, he’s older than Methuselah and already had a heart attack before things got tough, so there’s a good chance he wouldn’t make it through a single 4-year term. Let’s hope he picks wisely for a VP, but being Bernie, I doubt it.
Hmmmm.
No not all of us can plug our nose enough to vote for Bernie. I will simply write in someone else. I also don’t think Sanders can carry the election.
“I will simply write in someone else”
Really? I don’t think you understand how this works. It doesn’t matter who you write in or if you write down Mickey Mouse, that’s still a VOTE for Drumpf.
I will never vote for a deadbeat parent and misogynist like Bernie.
BTW
My vote is my vote, not yours. I will vote how I want to.
My vote will be a vote FOR whomever I choose. If you don’t like it well I really don’t give a shit.
Then you’ll be throwing your vote away and helping that orange blob of corruption remain in our White House. Not a good plan.
Bernie is just the half dead blue bob. I vote by my own standards and if you want to throw those away that’s your choice, but once again, my vote is my vote.
But if my vote is all fired up so important then Id be the only one voting.
Sorry but I am never voting for a lifetime misogynistic deadbeat Dad career do nothing politician just so you can smoke a joint legally.
Are you okay with me DEMANDING who you vote for? Why are you voting for a misogynistic dying pig like sanders? Use your vote for someone better for 51 percent of the population.
Sunday morning surveys show that 93% of stay at home moms have fantasized about The Bern.
Carville and all the ancient hacks of the pundit class are completely out of touch. Bernie won Latinos and African Americans decisively.
The same people saying Bernie can’t win said that Trump couldn’t win.
Is Bernie really proposing anything different from what Democrats since Roosevelt have proposed? He’s organized and effective. It’s not up to him to unite us – it’s up to us. Let’s get going and stop the whining and hand-wringing.